Stoke City vs Preston prediction
Stoke City
PrestonNo value edgeConfidence: Low
Why
- We make it 64%
- Expected goals 2.1–0.9 (most likely score 2-0)
- Last five: Stoke City DWLWW, Preston DLLLD
- No clear value at current prices, so this is our most likely sensible tip
Our 2nd and 3rd picks
Expected goals 2.1–0.9, 3.1 in total.
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Stoke City vs Preston preview
Stoke City host Preston in the Championship on Saturday 31 October. In the standings, Preston are 24th on 5 points from 12 games and Stoke City 9th on 20 points from 12 games. That puts Stoke City 15 places higher. Preston come into it having not won any of their last five (two draws, three defeats) (DLLLD); Stoke City have won three of their last five (DWLWW). Stoke City average 1.5 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game, compared with 0.8 and 2.1 for Preston. Our model expects around 2.1 goals for Stoke City and 0.9 for Preston, and 2–0 is the single most likely scoreline at 11%.
We put over 2.5 goals at 59% and both teams to score at 54%. We make Stoke City 64% to win, the draw 22% and Preston 14%. Our verdict is Stoke City to win: we rate it at 64%. We do not have a bookmaker price for it yet, so we cannot say whether there is value. Prices change, and nothing in football is guaranteed.
Match result: our chances against the odds
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stoke City win | 64% | – | – | – |
| Draw | 22% | – | – | – |
| Preston win | 14% | – | – | – |
Implied chance is 1 ÷ the best price, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. Edge is our chance × price − 1.
Goals, both teams to score and double chance
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 59% | – | – | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 41% | – | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 54% | – | – | – |
| Not both to score | 46% | – | – | – |
| Stoke City or draw | 86% | – | – | – |
| Preston or draw | 36% | – | – | – |
| Either team to win | 78% | – | – | – |
Expected goals and likely scores
| Expected goals | xG |
|---|---|
| Stoke City | 2.1 |
| Preston | 0.9 |
| Total | 3.1 |
| Most likely scores | Chance |
|---|---|
| Stoke City 2–0 Preston | 11% |
| Stoke City 1–1 Preston | 10% |
| Stoke City 2–1 Preston | 10% |
Form, table and goals
| Form (last 5) | Results |
|---|---|
| Stoke City | |
| Preston |
| League position | Pos | Pts | Played |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stoke City | 9th | 20 | 12 |
| Preston | 24th | 5 | 12 |
| Goals per game | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Stoke City | 1.5 | 1.3 |
| Preston | 0.8 | 2.1 |
Stoke City vs Preston: FAQ
Who will win Stoke City vs Preston?
We make Stoke City 64% to win, the draw 22% and Preston 14%, so Stoke City are the more likely winners on our numbers. Our verdict is Stoke City to win at 64%.
Will both teams score in Stoke City vs Preston?
We give both teams to score a 54% chance. Our expected goals are 2.1 for Stoke City and 0.9 for Preston.
How many goals in Stoke City vs Preston?
Our model expects about 3.1 goals in total. We put over 2.5 goals at 59% and under 2.5 at 41%. The single most likely score is 2–0.
What time does Stoke City vs Preston kick off?
Stoke City vs Preston kicks off at 12:30 UTC on Saturday 31 October 2026, in the Championship.
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