PSV Eindhoven vs Feyenoord prediction
PSV Eindhoven
FeyenoordNo value edgeConfidence: Low
Why
- We make it 55%; the best price of 1.83 implies 55%
- Expected goals 2.0–2.3 (most likely score 2-2)
- Last five: PSV Eindhoven LWLWW, Feyenoord WWWWW
- No clear value at current prices, so this is our most likely sensible tip
Our 2nd and 3rd picks
Both sides expected to score: 2.0 and 2.3 xG.
Expected goals 2.0–2.3, 4.4 in total.
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PSV Eindhoven vs Feyenoord preview
Eredivisie action on Sunday 25 October sees Feyenoord travel to face PSV Eindhoven. In the standings, Feyenoord are 1st on 23 points from 9 games and PSV Eindhoven 3rd on 19 points from 9 games. On form, PSV Eindhoven have won three of their last five (LWLWW), while Feyenoord have won each of their last five (WWWWW). PSV Eindhoven average 3.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game, compared with 3.4 and 1.1 for Feyenoord. On expected goals we have PSV Eindhoven at 2.0 and Feyenoord at 2.3, with 2–2 the most likely score (7%).
We put over 2.5 goals at 76% and both teams to score at 76%. We make PSV Eindhoven 45% to win, the draw 23% and Feyenoord 32%, while the best bookmaker prices imply 48%, 23% and 31%. Our verdict is Feyenoord or draw: we rate it at 55%, against 55% implied by the best price of 1.83. The edge is slim at around 1%, so a small drop in the price would remove it. Prices change, and nothing in football is guaranteed.
Match result: our chances against the odds
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSV Eindhoven win | 45% | 2.07 | 48% | -6% |
| Draw | 23% | 4.28 | 23% | -4% |
| Feyenoord win | 32% | 3.25 | 31% | +5% |
Implied chance is 1 ÷ the best price, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. Edge is our chance × price − 1.
Goals, both teams to score and double chance
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 76% | 1.32 | 76% | +0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 24% | 3.80 | 26% | -9% |
| Both teams to score | 76% | 1.31 | 76% | -1% |
| Not both to score | 24% | 3.80 | 26% | -7% |
| PSV Eindhoven or draw | 68% | 1.40 | 71% | -5% |
| Feyenoord or draw | 55% | 1.83 | 55% | +0% |
| Either team to win | 77% | 1.23 | 81% | -5% |
Expected goals and likely scores
| Expected goals | xG |
|---|---|
| PSV Eindhoven | 2.0 |
| Feyenoord | 2.3 |
| Total | 4.4 |
| Most likely scores | Chance |
|---|---|
| PSV Eindhoven 2–2 Feyenoord | 7% |
| PSV Eindhoven 1–2 Feyenoord | 7% |
| PSV Eindhoven 1–1 Feyenoord | 7% |
Form, table and goals
| Form (last 5) | Results |
|---|---|
| PSV Eindhoven | |
| Feyenoord |
| League position | Pos | Pts | Played |
|---|---|---|---|
| PSV Eindhoven | 3rd | 19 | 9 |
| Feyenoord | 1st | 23 | 9 |
| Goals per game | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| PSV Eindhoven | 3.0 | 1.3 |
| Feyenoord | 3.4 | 1.1 |
Corners and cards lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Corners 9.5 | 1.55 (65%) | 2.41 (41%) |
| Cards 3.5 | 1.57 (64%) | 2.30 (43%) |
Best available prices, with the implied chance in brackets.
PSV Eindhoven vs Feyenoord: FAQ
Who will win PSV Eindhoven vs Feyenoord?
We make PSV Eindhoven 45% to win, the draw 23% and Feyenoord 32%, so PSV Eindhoven are the more likely winners on our numbers. The bookmakers agree, with PSV Eindhoven the shorter price. Our verdict is Feyenoord or draw at 55%.
Will both teams score in PSV Eindhoven vs Feyenoord?
We give both teams to score a 76% chance, against 76% implied by the best price of 1.31. Our expected goals are 2.0 for PSV Eindhoven and 2.3 for Feyenoord.
How many goals in PSV Eindhoven vs Feyenoord?
Our model expects about 4.4 goals in total. We put over 2.5 goals at 76% and under 2.5 at 24%; the best over 2.5 price is 1.32. The single most likely score is 2–2.
What time does PSV Eindhoven vs Feyenoord kick off?
PSV Eindhoven vs Feyenoord kicks off at 13:30 UTC on Sunday 25 October 2026, in the Eredivisie.
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