Willem II vs Cambuur prediction
Willem II
CambuurResult: Willem II 1–6 Cambuur
| Pick | Outcome |
|---|---|
| Both teams to score | Won |
| Cambuur or draw | Won |
| Over 2.5 goals | Won |
Settled on our public track record.
No value edgeConfidence: Low
Why
- We make it 74%
- Expected goals 1.2–2.7, so 74% for over 2.5 and 65% for both to score
- Last five: Willem II LLLLL, Cambuur WDWDW
- No clear value at current prices, so this is our most likely sensible tip
Our 2nd and 3rd picks
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Willem II vs Cambuur preview
Willem II hosted Cambuur in the Eredivisie on Saturday 24 October. Here is how it shaped up before kick-off. In the standings, Cambuur are 10th on 12 points from 10 games and Willem II 18th on 2 points from 10 games. That puts Cambuur eight places higher. Recent results matter here: Willem II have lost each of their last five (LLLLL) and Cambuur have gone unbeaten in their last five, with three wins and two draws (WDWDW). Willem II average 1.0 goals scored and 3.2 conceded per game, compared with 1.9 and 2.2 for Cambuur.
Our model expects around 1.2 goals for Willem II and 2.7 for Cambuur, and 1–2 is the single most likely scoreline at 9%. We put over 2.5 goals at 74% and both teams to score at 65%. We make Willem II 13% to win, the draw 17% and Cambuur 70%. Our verdict is Cambuur or draw: we rate it at 64%, against 65% implied by the best price of 1.55. There is no clear value at the current prices, as the bookmakers rate this at least as highly as we do, so treat it as our most likely sensible outcome rather than a value bet.
Match result: our chances against the odds
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Willem II win | 13% | – | – | – |
| Draw | 17% | – | – | – |
| Cambuur win | 70% | – | – | – |
Implied chance is 1 ÷ the best price, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. Edge is our chance × price − 1.
Goals, both teams to score and double chance
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 74% | – | – | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 26% | – | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 65% | – | – | – |
| Not both to score | 35% | – | – | – |
| Willem II or draw | 30% | – | – | – |
| Cambuur or draw | 87% | – | – | – |
| Either team to win | 83% | – | – | – |
Expected goals and likely scores
| Expected goals | xG |
|---|---|
| Willem II | 1.2 |
| Cambuur | 2.7 |
| Total | 3.9 |
| Most likely scores | Chance |
|---|---|
| Willem II 1–2 Cambuur | 9% |
| Willem II 1–3 Cambuur | 8% |
| Willem II 0–2 Cambuur | 8% |
Form, table and goals
| Form (last 5) | Results |
|---|---|
| Willem II | |
| Cambuur |
| League position | Pos | Pts | Played |
|---|---|---|---|
| Willem II | 18th | 2 | 10 |
| Cambuur | 10th | 12 | 10 |
| Goals per game | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Willem II | 1.0 | 3.2 |
| Cambuur | 1.9 | 2.2 |
Willem II vs Cambuur: FAQ
Who will win Willem II vs Cambuur?
The match finished Willem II 1–6 Cambuur. Before kick-off we made Willem II 13% to win, the draw 17% and Cambuur 70%, so Cambuur were the more likely winners on our numbers. Our verdict was Cambuur or draw at 64%.
Will both teams score in Willem II vs Cambuur?
We gave both teams to score a 65% chance. Our expected goals are 1.2 for Willem II and 2.7 for Cambuur. In the end, both teams did score.
How many goals in Willem II vs Cambuur?
Our model expects about 3.9 goals in total. We put over 2.5 goals at 74% and under 2.5 at 26%. The single most likely score is 1–2. The final score was 1–6, 7 goals in all.
What time does Willem II vs Cambuur kick off?
Willem II vs Cambuur kicked off at 16:45 UTC on Saturday 24 October 2026, in the Eredivisie.
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