Racing Santander vs Espanyol prediction

Racing Santander vs Espanyol preview

This La Liga match between Racing Santander and Espanyol was played on Saturday 24 October. Here is how it shaped up before kick-off. Racing Santander sit 11th in the table on 11 points from 10 games, while Espanyol are 18th with 8 points. That puts Racing Santander seven places higher. Espanyol come into it having not won any of their last five (one draw, four defeats) (LLDLL); Racing Santander have lost three of their last five (WLDLL). Racing Santander average 1.5 goals scored and 2.6 conceded per game, compared with 1.2 and 1.4 for Espanyol.

Our model expects around 1.8 goals for Racing Santander and 1.4 for Espanyol, and 1–1 is the single most likely scoreline at 12%. We put over 2.5 goals at 61% and both teams to score at 64%. We make Racing Santander 45% to win, the draw 26% and Espanyol 29%. Our verdict is Both teams to score: we rate it at 63%, against 65% implied by the best price of 1.53. There is no clear value at the current prices, as the bookmakers rate this at least as highly as we do, so treat it as our most likely sensible outcome rather than a value bet.