Rayo Vallecano vs Elche prediction

Rayo Vallecano vs Elche preview

Elche were the visitors at Rayo Vallecano in La Liga on Saturday 24 October. Here is how it shaped up before kick-off. Rayo Vallecano sit 17th in the table on 9 points from 9 games, while Elche are 13th with 10 points. On form, Rayo Vallecano have picked up one win, two draws and one defeat in their last four (LDDW), while Elche have picked up two wins, two draws and one defeat in their last five (WDDWL). In front of goal, Rayo Vallecano score 1.3 and concede 2.2 a game on average; Elche score 1.4 and concede 1.7. Our model expects around 1.3 goals for Rayo Vallecano and 1.7 for Elche, and 1–1 is the single most likely scoreline at 12%.

We put over 2.5 goals at 57% and both teams to score at 60%. We make Rayo Vallecano 27% to win, the draw 26% and Elche 47%. Our verdict is Both teams to score: we rate it at 55%, against 56% implied by the best price of 1.80. There is no clear value at the current prices, as the bookmakers rate this at least as highly as we do, so treat it as our most likely sensible outcome rather than a value bet.