Angers vs Lorient prediction
Angers
LorientNo value edgeConfidence: Low
Why
- We make it 60%; the best price of 1.60 implies 63%
- Expected goals 1.1–1.4 (most likely score 1-1)
- Last five: Angers LLWDL, Lorient WWLDW
- No clear value at current prices, so this is our most likely sensible tip
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Angers vs Lorient preview
Angers welcome Lorient on Sunday 25 October in Ligue 1. In the standings, Lorient are 7th on 11 points from 7 games and Angers 15th on 7 points from 7 games. That puts Lorient eight places higher. Lorient come into it having won three of their last five (WWLDW); Angers have lost three of their last five (LLWDL). Angers average 1.3 goals scored and 2.1 conceded per game, compared with 1.0 and 0.9 for Lorient. Our model expects around 1.1 goals for Angers and 1.4 for Lorient, and 1–1 is the single most likely scoreline at 14%.
We put over 2.5 goals at 47% and both teams to score at 53%. We make Angers 31% to win, the draw 29% and Lorient 40%, while the best bookmaker prices imply 32%, 29% and 40%. Our verdict is Angers or draw: we rate it at 60%, against 63% implied by the best price of 1.60. There is no clear value at the current prices, as the bookmakers rate this at least as highly as we do, so treat it as our most likely sensible outcome rather than a value bet. Odds can move before kick-off and no prediction is certain.
Match result: our chances against the odds
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angers win | 31% | 3.10 | 32% | -4% |
| Draw | 29% | 3.40 | 29% | -1% |
| Lorient win | 40% | 2.52 | 40% | +1% |
Implied chance is 1 ÷ the best price, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. Edge is our chance × price − 1.
Goals, both teams to score and double chance
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% | 2.08 | 48% | -2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 53% | 1.87 | 53% | -2% |
| Both teams to score | 53% | 1.80 | 56% | -5% |
| Not both to score | 47% | 2.00 | 50% | -6% |
| Angers or draw | 60% | 1.60 | 63% | -4% |
| Lorient or draw | 69% | 1.42 | 70% | -2% |
| Either team to win | 71% | 1.37 | 73% | -3% |
Expected goals and likely scores
| Expected goals | xG |
|---|---|
| Angers | 1.1 |
| Lorient | 1.4 |
| Total | 2.6 |
| Most likely scores | Chance |
|---|---|
| Angers 1–1 Lorient | 14% |
| Angers 0–1 Lorient | 9% |
| Angers 0–0 Lorient | 9% |
Form, table and goals
| Form (last 5) | Results |
|---|---|
| Angers | |
| Lorient |
| League position | Pos | Pts | Played |
|---|---|---|---|
| Angers | 15th | 7 | 7 |
| Lorient | 7th | 11 | 7 |
| Goals per game | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Angers | 1.3 | 2.1 |
| Lorient | 1.0 | 0.9 |
Corners and cards lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Corners 9.5 | 2.02 (50%) | 1.93 (52%) |
| Cards 3.5 | 2.02 (50%) | 1.93 (52%) |
Best available prices, with the implied chance in brackets.
Angers vs Lorient: FAQ
Who will win Angers vs Lorient?
We make Angers 31% to win, the draw 29% and Lorient 40%, so Lorient are the more likely winners on our numbers, though it is close. The bookmakers agree, with Lorient the shorter price. Our verdict is Angers or draw at 60%.
Will both teams score in Angers vs Lorient?
We give both teams to score a 53% chance, against 56% implied by the best price of 1.80. Our expected goals are 1.1 for Angers and 1.4 for Lorient.
How many goals in Angers vs Lorient?
Our model expects about 2.6 goals in total. We put over 2.5 goals at 47% and under 2.5 at 53%; the best over 2.5 price is 2.08. The single most likely score is 1–1.
What time does Angers vs Lorient kick off?
Angers vs Lorient kicks off at 16:15 UTC on Sunday 25 October 2026, in Ligue 1.
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