Nice vs Rennes prediction
Nice
RennesNo value edgeConfidence: Low
Why
- We make it 64%; the best price of 1.60 implies 63%
- Expected goals 1.9–1.2 (most likely score 1-1)
- Last five: Nice WLWWL, Rennes LWLWW
- No clear value at current prices, so this is our most likely sensible tip
Our 2nd and 3rd picks
Both sides expected to score: 1.9 and 1.2 xG.
Expected goals 1.9–1.2, 3.1 in total.
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Nice vs Rennes preview
Ligue 1 action on Saturday 31 October sees Rennes travel to face Nice. Nice sit 8th in the table on 11 points from 8 games, while Rennes are 6th with 13 points. Both sides have won three of their last five: Nice WLWWL and Rennes LWLWW. In front of goal, Nice score 1.0 and concede 1.3 a game on average; Rennes score 2.1 and concede 2.0. On expected goals we have Nice at 1.9 and Rennes at 1.2, with 1–1 the most likely score (11%).
We put over 2.5 goals at 60% and both teams to score at 63%. We make Nice 38% to win, the draw 25% and Rennes 36%, while the best bookmaker prices imply 36%, 26% and 40%. Our verdict is Nice or draw: we rate it at 64%, against 63% implied by the best price of 1.60. The edge is slim at around 2%, so a small drop in the price would remove it. Odds can move before kick-off and no prediction is certain.
Match result: our chances against the odds
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nice win | 38% | 2.78 | 36% | +6% |
| Draw | 25% | 3.84 | 26% | -2% |
| Rennes win | 36% | 2.53 | 40% | -8% |
Implied chance is 1 ÷ the best price, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. Edge is our chance × price − 1.
Goals, both teams to score and double chance
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 1.65 | 61% | -1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 40% | 2.50 | 40% | -1% |
| Both teams to score | 63% | 1.50 | 67% | -6% |
| Not both to score | 37% | 2.62 | 38% | -3% |
| Nice or draw | 64% | 1.60 | 63% | +2% |
| Rennes or draw | 62% | 1.50 | 67% | -7% |
| Either team to win | 75% | 1.31 | 76% | -2% |
Expected goals and likely scores
| Expected goals | xG |
|---|---|
| Nice | 1.9 |
| Rennes | 1.2 |
| Total | 3.1 |
| Most likely scores | Chance |
|---|---|
| Nice 1–1 Rennes | 11% |
| Nice 2–1 Rennes | 10% |
| Nice 2–0 Rennes | 8% |
Form, table and goals
| Form (last 5) | Results |
|---|---|
| Nice | |
| Rennes |
| League position | Pos | Pts | Played |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nice | 8th | 11 | 8 |
| Rennes | 6th | 13 | 7 |
| Goals per game | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Nice | 1.0 | 1.3 |
| Rennes | 2.1 | 2.0 |
Corners and cards lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Corners 9.5 | 1.55 (65%) | 2.35 (43%) |
Best available prices, with the implied chance in brackets.
Nice vs Rennes: FAQ
Who will win Nice vs Rennes?
We make Nice 38% to win, the draw 25% and Rennes 36%, so Nice are the more likely winners on our numbers, though it is close. The bookmakers see it differently and make Rennes favourites. Our verdict is Nice or draw at 64%.
Will both teams score in Nice vs Rennes?
We give both teams to score a 63% chance, against 67% implied by the best price of 1.50. Our expected goals are 1.9 for Nice and 1.2 for Rennes.
How many goals in Nice vs Rennes?
Our model expects about 3.1 goals in total. We put over 2.5 goals at 60% and under 2.5 at 40%; the best over 2.5 price is 1.65. The single most likely score is 1–1.
What time does Nice vs Rennes kick off?
Nice vs Rennes kicks off at 16:15 UTC on Saturday 31 October 2026, in Ligue 1.
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