Bundesliga

1. FC Köln vs FC Schalke 04 prediction

Bundesliga · Saturday 24 October 2026, 13:30 UTC

1. FC Köln

0–0

Full time

FC Schalke 04

Result: 1. FC Köln 0–0 FC Schalke 04

Pick	Outcome
1. FC Köln or draw	Won
Over 2.5 goals	Lost
Both teams to score	Lost

Settled on our public track record.

Our verdict · Goals

Over 2.5 goals Lost

Our chance60%

Best price1.70

Fair odds1.66

No value edgeConfidence: Low

Why

We make it 54%
Expected goals 1.6–1.1, so 50% for over 2.5 and 54% for both to score
Last five: 1. FC Köln DLWLD, FC Schalke 04 DLLDW
No clear value at current prices, so this is our most likely sensible tip

Our 2nd and 3rd picks

Double chance

1. FC Köln or draw

73%

@ 1.36

Won

Both teams to score

61%

@ 1.62

Lost

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1. FC Köln vs FC Schalke 04 preview

1. FC Köln hosted FC Schalke 04 in the Bundesliga on Saturday 24 October. Here is how it shaped up before kick-off. In the standings, FC Schalke 04 are 16th on 6 points from 7 games and 1. FC Köln 11th on 8 points from 7 games. Both sides have picked up one win, two draws and two defeats in their last five: 1. FC Köln DLWLD and FC Schalke 04 DLLDW. 1. FC Köln average 1.1 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game, compared with 0.6 and 1.0 for FC Schalke 04. On expected goals we have 1. FC Köln at 1.6 and FC Schalke 04 at 1.1, with 1–1 the most likely score (13%).

We put over 2.5 goals at 50% and both teams to score at 54%. We make 1. FC Köln 49% to win, the draw 28% and FC Schalke 04 23%. Our verdict is Over 2.5 goals: we rate it at 60%, against 59% implied by the best price of 1.70. The edge is slim at around 2%, so a small drop in the price would remove it.

Match result: our chances against the odds

Outcome	Our chance	Best price	Implied	Edge
1. FC Köln win	49%	–	–	–
Draw	28%	–	–	–
FC Schalke 04 win	23%	–	–	–

Implied chance is 1 ÷ the best price, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. Edge is our chance × price − 1.

Goals, both teams to score and double chance

Outcome	Our chance	Best price	Implied	Edge
Over 2.5 goals	50%	–	–	–
Under 2.5 goals	50%	–	–	–
Both teams to score	54%	–	–	–
Not both to score	46%	–	–	–
1. FC Köln or draw	77%	–	–	–
FC Schalke 04 or draw	51%	–	–	–
Either team to win	72%	–	–	–

Expected goals and likely scores

Expected goals	xG
1. FC Köln	1.6
FC Schalke 04	1.1
Total	2.7

Most likely scores	Chance
1. FC Köln 1–1 FC Schalke 04	13%
1. FC Köln 1–0 FC Schalke 04	10%
1. FC Köln 2–1 FC Schalke 04	10%

Form, table and goals

Form (last 5)	Results
1. FC Köln
FC Schalke 04

League position	Pos	Pts	Played
1. FC Köln	11th	8	7
FC Schalke 04	16th	6	7

Goals per game	Scored	Conceded
1. FC Köln	1.1	1.6
FC Schalke 04	0.6	1.0

1. FC Köln vs FC Schalke 04: FAQ

Who will win 1. FC Köln vs FC Schalke 04?

The match finished 1. FC Köln 0–0 FC Schalke 04. Before kick-off we made 1. FC Köln 49% to win, the draw 28% and FC Schalke 04 23%, so 1. FC Köln were the more likely winners on our numbers. Our verdict was Over 2.5 goals at 60%.

Will both teams score in 1. FC Köln vs FC Schalke 04?

We gave both teams to score a 54% chance. Our expected goals are 1.6 for 1. FC Köln and 1.1 for FC Schalke 04. In the end, both teams did not score.

How many goals in 1. FC Köln vs FC Schalke 04?

Our model expects about 2.7 goals in total. We put over 2.5 goals at 50% and under 2.5 at 50%. The single most likely score is 1–1. The final score was 0–0, 0 goals in all.

What time does 1. FC Köln vs FC Schalke 04 kick off?

1. FC Köln vs FC Schalke 04 kicked off at 13:30 UTC on Saturday 24 October 2026, in the Bundesliga.