Borussia Mönchengladbach vs SC Paderborn 07 prediction

Borussia Mönchengladbach vs SC Paderborn 07 preview

Borussia Mönchengladbach host SC Paderborn 07 in the Bundesliga on Saturday 31 October. Borussia Mönchengladbach sit 18th in the table on 3 points from 7 games, while SC Paderborn 07 are 12th with 8 points. That puts SC Paderborn 07 six places higher. On form, Borussia Mönchengladbach have lost four of their last five (WLLLL), while SC Paderborn 07 have picked up two wins, one draw and two defeats in their last five (WDLWL). Borussia Mönchengladbach average 1.6 goals scored and 3.1 conceded per game, compared with 0.9 and 1.3 for SC Paderborn 07.

Our model expects around 2.1 goals for Borussia Mönchengladbach and 1.7 for SC Paderborn 07, and 1–1 is the single most likely scoreline at 9%. We put over 2.5 goals at 66% and both teams to score at 67%. We make Borussia Mönchengladbach 49% to win, the draw 23% and SC Paderborn 07 28%, while the best bookmaker prices imply 51%, 23% and 27%. Our verdict is Over 2.5 goals: we rate it at 66%, against 67% implied by the best price of 1.50. There is no clear value at the current prices, as the bookmakers rate this at least as highly as we do, so treat it as our most likely sensible outcome rather than a value bet.