Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart prediction
Bayer Leverkusen
VfB StuttgartNo value edgeConfidence: Low
Why
- We make it 68%
- Expected goals 2.3–0.9 (most likely score 2-0)
- Last five: Bayer Leverkusen WWWDW, VfB Stuttgart LLWLL
- No clear value at current prices, so this is our most likely sensible tip
Our 2nd and 3rd picks
Expected goals 2.3–0.9, 3.2 in total.
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Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart preview
Bayer Leverkusen host VfB Stuttgart in the Bundesliga on Saturday 31 October. Bayer Leverkusen sit 4th in the table on 13 points from 6 games, while VfB Stuttgart are 15th with 6 points. That puts Bayer Leverkusen 11 places higher. VfB Stuttgart come into it having lost four of their last five (LLWLL); Bayer Leverkusen have gone unbeaten in their last five, with four wins and one draw (WWWDW). In front of goal, Bayer Leverkusen score 2.7 and concede 1.5 a game on average; VfB Stuttgart score 1.4 and concede 1.9. On expected goals we have Bayer Leverkusen at 2.3 and VfB Stuttgart at 0.9, with 2–0 the most likely score (11%).
We put over 2.5 goals at 61% and both teams to score at 53%. We make Bayer Leverkusen 68% to win, the draw 20% and VfB Stuttgart 12%. Our verdict is Bayer Leverkusen to win: we rate it at 68%. We do not have a bookmaker price for it yet, so we cannot say whether there is value. Odds can move before kick-off and no prediction is certain.
Match result: our chances against the odds
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayer Leverkusen win | 68% | – | – | – |
| Draw | 20% | – | – | – |
| VfB Stuttgart win | 12% | – | – | – |
Implied chance is 1 ÷ the best price, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. Edge is our chance × price − 1.
Goals, both teams to score and double chance
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 61% | – | – | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 39% | – | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 53% | – | – | – |
| Not both to score | 47% | – | – | – |
| Bayer Leverkusen or draw | 88% | – | – | – |
| VfB Stuttgart or draw | 32% | – | – | – |
| Either team to win | 80% | – | – | – |
Expected goals and likely scores
| Expected goals | xG |
|---|---|
| Bayer Leverkusen | 2.3 |
| VfB Stuttgart | 0.9 |
| Total | 3.2 |
| Most likely scores | Chance |
|---|---|
| Bayer Leverkusen 2–0 VfB Stuttgart | 11% |
| Bayer Leverkusen 2–1 VfB Stuttgart | 10% |
| Bayer Leverkusen 1–1 VfB Stuttgart | 10% |
Form, table and goals
| Form (last 5) | Results |
|---|---|
| Bayer Leverkusen | |
| VfB Stuttgart |
| League position | Pos | Pts | Played |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bayer Leverkusen | 4th | 13 | 6 |
| VfB Stuttgart | 15th | 6 | 7 |
| Goals per game | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Bayer Leverkusen | 2.7 | 1.5 |
| VfB Stuttgart | 1.4 | 1.9 |
Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart: FAQ
Who will win Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart?
We make Bayer Leverkusen 68% to win, the draw 20% and VfB Stuttgart 12%, so Bayer Leverkusen are the more likely winners on our numbers. Our verdict is Bayer Leverkusen to win at 68%.
Will both teams score in Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart?
We give both teams to score a 53% chance. Our expected goals are 2.3 for Bayer Leverkusen and 0.9 for VfB Stuttgart.
How many goals in Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart?
Our model expects about 3.2 goals in total. We put over 2.5 goals at 61% and under 2.5 at 39%. The single most likely score is 2–0.
What time does Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart kick off?
Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart kicks off at 14:30 UTC on Saturday 31 October 2026, in the Bundesliga.
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