Bolton vs Bristol City prediction
Bolton
Bristol CityNo value edgeConfidence: Low
Why
- We make it 63%
- Expected goals 1.3–1.8, so 61% for over 2.5 and 63% for both to score
- Last five: Bolton LDWLW, Bristol City DLLDW
- No clear value at current prices, so this is our most likely sensible tip
Our 2nd and 3rd picks
No side is clear, so we cover two results: 74% combined.
Expected goals 1.3–1.8, 3.2 in total.
Build your bet slip
Bolton vs Bristol City preview
Championship action on Saturday 31 October sees Bristol City travel to face Bolton. In the standings, Bristol City are 14th on 15 points from 12 games and Bolton 18th on 14 points from 12 games. Bristol City come into it having picked up one win, two draws and two defeats in their last five (DLLDW); Bolton have picked up two wins, one draw and two defeats in their last five (LDWLW). Bolton average 1.3 goals scored and 1.9 conceded per game, compared with 1.0 and 1.3 for Bristol City. On expected goals we have Bolton at 1.3 and Bristol City at 1.8, with 1–1 the most likely score (12%).
We put over 2.5 goals at 61% and both teams to score at 63%. We make Bolton 26% to win, the draw 25% and Bristol City 48%. Our verdict is Both teams to score: we rate it at 63%. We do not have a bookmaker price for it yet, so we cannot say whether there is value. Odds can move before kick-off and no prediction is certain.
Match result: our chances against the odds
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bolton win | 26% | – | – | – |
| Draw | 25% | – | – | – |
| Bristol City win | 48% | – | – | – |
Implied chance is 1 ÷ the best price, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. Edge is our chance × price − 1.
Goals, both teams to score and double chance
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 61% | – | – | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 39% | – | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 63% | – | – | – |
| Not both to score | 37% | – | – | – |
| Bolton or draw | 52% | – | – | – |
| Bristol City or draw | 74% | – | – | – |
| Either team to win | 75% | – | – | – |
Expected goals and likely scores
| Expected goals | xG |
|---|---|
| Bolton | 1.3 |
| Bristol City | 1.8 |
| Total | 3.2 |
| Most likely scores | Chance |
|---|---|
| Bolton 1–1 Bristol City | 12% |
| Bolton 1–2 Bristol City | 9% |
| Bolton 0–2 Bristol City | 7% |
Form, table and goals
| Form (last 5) | Results |
|---|---|
| Bolton | |
| Bristol City |
| League position | Pos | Pts | Played |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bolton | 18th | 14 | 12 |
| Bristol City | 14th | 15 | 12 |
| Goals per game | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Bolton | 1.3 | 1.9 |
| Bristol City | 1.0 | 1.3 |
Bolton vs Bristol City: FAQ
Who will win Bolton vs Bristol City?
We make Bolton 26% to win, the draw 25% and Bristol City 48%, so Bristol City are the more likely winners on our numbers. Our verdict is Both teams to score at 63%.
Will both teams score in Bolton vs Bristol City?
We give both teams to score a 63% chance. Our expected goals are 1.3 for Bolton and 1.8 for Bristol City.
How many goals in Bolton vs Bristol City?
Our model expects about 3.2 goals in total. We put over 2.5 goals at 61% and under 2.5 at 39%. The single most likely score is 1–1.
What time does Bolton vs Bristol City kick off?
Bolton vs Bristol City kicks off at 15:00 UTC on Saturday 31 October 2026, in the Championship.
Sheffield Utd
Wrexham
Norwich
Watford
Stoke City
Preston
Lincoln
Birmingham
Wolves
Cardiff
Southampton
QPR