Stoke City vs Bristol City prediction
Stoke City
Bristol CityResult: Stoke City 0–0 Bristol City
| Pick | Outcome |
|---|---|
| Bristol City or draw | Won |
| Both teams to score | Lost |
Settled on our public track record.
No value edgeConfidence: Low
Why
- We make it 58%
- Expected goals 1.6–1.2, so 53% for over 2.5 and 58% for both to score
- Last five: Stoke City DWLWW, Bristol City DLLDW
- No clear value at current prices, so this is our most likely sensible tip
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Stoke City vs Bristol City preview
Stoke City hosted Bristol City in the Championship on Saturday 24 October. Here is how it shaped up before kick-off. Stoke City sit 9th in the table on 20 points from 12 games, while Bristol City are 14th with 15 points. Recent results matter here: Stoke City have won three of their last five (DWLWW) and Bristol City have picked up one win, two draws and two defeats in their last five (DLLDW). In front of goal, Stoke City score 1.5 and concede 1.3 a game on average; Bristol City score 1.0 and concede 1.3. Our model expects around 1.6 goals for Stoke City and 1.2 for Bristol City, and 1–1 is the single most likely scoreline at 13%.
We put over 2.5 goals at 53% and both teams to score at 58%. We make Stoke City 44% to win, the draw 28% and Bristol City 28%. Our verdict is Bristol City or draw: we rate it at 59%, against 64% implied by the best price of 1.57. There is no clear value at the current prices, as the bookmakers rate this at least as highly as we do, so treat it as our most likely sensible outcome rather than a value bet.
Match result: our chances against the odds
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stoke City win | 44% | – | – | – |
| Draw | 28% | – | – | – |
| Bristol City win | 28% | – | – | – |
Implied chance is 1 ÷ the best price, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. Edge is our chance × price − 1.
Goals, both teams to score and double chance
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | – | – | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 47% | – | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 58% | – | – | – |
| Not both to score | 42% | – | – | – |
| Stoke City or draw | 72% | – | – | – |
| Bristol City or draw | 56% | – | – | – |
| Either team to win | 72% | – | – | – |
Expected goals and likely scores
| Expected goals | xG |
|---|---|
| Stoke City | 1.6 |
| Bristol City | 1.2 |
| Total | 2.8 |
| Most likely scores | Chance |
|---|---|
| Stoke City 1–1 Bristol City | 13% |
| Stoke City 2–1 Bristol City | 9% |
| Stoke City 1–0 Bristol City | 8% |
Form, table and goals
| Form (last 5) | Results |
|---|---|
| Stoke City | |
| Bristol City |
| League position | Pos | Pts | Played |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stoke City | 9th | 20 | 12 |
| Bristol City | 14th | 15 | 12 |
| Goals per game | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Stoke City | 1.5 | 1.3 |
| Bristol City | 1.0 | 1.3 |
Stoke City vs Bristol City: FAQ
Who will win Stoke City vs Bristol City?
The match finished Stoke City 0–0 Bristol City. Before kick-off we made Stoke City 44% to win, the draw 28% and Bristol City 28%, so Stoke City were the more likely winners on our numbers, though it is close. Our verdict was Bristol City or draw at 59%.
Will both teams score in Stoke City vs Bristol City?
We gave both teams to score a 58% chance. Our expected goals are 1.6 for Stoke City and 1.2 for Bristol City. In the end, both teams did not score.
How many goals in Stoke City vs Bristol City?
Our model expects about 2.8 goals in total. We put over 2.5 goals at 53% and under 2.5 at 47%. The single most likely score is 1–1. The final score was 0–0, 0 goals in all.
What time does Stoke City vs Bristol City kick off?
Stoke City vs Bristol City kicked off at 14:00 UTC on Saturday 24 October 2026, in the Championship.
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