Wolves vs Watford prediction
Wolves
WatfordResult: Wolves 1–0 Watford
| Pick | Outcome |
|---|---|
| Wolves to win | Won |
Settled on our public track record.
No value edgeConfidence: Low
Why
- We make it 61%
- Expected goals 1.8–0.7 (most likely score 1-0)
- Last five: Wolves WDWLL, Watford LWLLL
- No clear value at current prices, so this is our most likely sensible tip
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Wolves vs Watford preview
This Championship match between Wolves and Watford was played on Saturday 24 October. Here is how it shaped up before kick-off. In the standings, Watford are 21st on 11 points from 12 games and Wolves 4th on 21 points from 12 games. That puts Wolves 17 places higher. Watford come into it having lost four of their last five (LWLLL); Wolves have picked up two wins, one draw and two defeats in their last five (WDWLL). In front of goal, Wolves score 1.7 and concede 1.3 a game on average; Watford score 0.8 and concede 1.7.
Our model expects around 1.8 goals for Wolves and 0.7 for Watford, and 1–0 is the single most likely scoreline at 13%. We put over 2.5 goals at 46% and both teams to score at 44%. We make Wolves 61% to win, the draw 25% and Watford 14%. Our verdict is Wolves to win: we rate it at 65%, against 68% implied by the best price of 1.47. There is no clear value at the current prices, as the bookmakers rate this at least as highly as we do, so treat it as our most likely sensible outcome rather than a value bet.
Match result: our chances against the odds
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wolves win | 61% | – | – | – |
| Draw | 25% | – | – | – |
| Watford win | 14% | – | – | – |
Implied chance is 1 ÷ the best price, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. Edge is our chance × price − 1.
Goals, both teams to score and double chance
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% | – | – | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 54% | – | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 44% | – | – | – |
| Not both to score | 56% | – | – | – |
| Wolves or draw | 86% | – | – | – |
| Watford or draw | 39% | – | – | – |
| Either team to win | 75% | – | – | – |
Expected goals and likely scores
| Expected goals | xG |
|---|---|
| Wolves | 1.8 |
| Watford | 0.7 |
| Total | 2.5 |
| Most likely scores | Chance |
|---|---|
| Wolves 1–0 Watford | 13% |
| Wolves 2–0 Watford | 13% |
| Wolves 1–1 Watford | 12% |
Form, table and goals
| Form (last 5) | Results |
|---|---|
| Wolves | |
| Watford |
| League position | Pos | Pts | Played |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wolves | 4th | 21 | 12 |
| Watford | 21st | 11 | 12 |
| Goals per game | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Wolves | 1.7 | 1.3 |
| Watford | 0.8 | 1.7 |
Wolves vs Watford: FAQ
Who will win Wolves vs Watford?
The match finished Wolves 1–0 Watford. Before kick-off we made Wolves 61% to win, the draw 25% and Watford 14%, so Wolves were the more likely winners on our numbers. Our verdict was Wolves to win at 65%.
Will both teams score in Wolves vs Watford?
We gave both teams to score a 44% chance. Our expected goals are 1.8 for Wolves and 0.7 for Watford. In the end, both teams did not score.
How many goals in Wolves vs Watford?
Our model expects about 2.5 goals in total. We put over 2.5 goals at 46% and under 2.5 at 54%. The single most likely score is 1–0. The final score was 1–0, 1 goal in all.
What time does Wolves vs Watford kick off?
Wolves vs Watford kicked off at 14:00 UTC on Saturday 24 October 2026, in the Championship.
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