Arsenal vs Everton prediction
Arsenal
EvertonResult: Arsenal 2–0 Everton
| Pick | Outcome |
|---|---|
| Arsenal to win | Won |
Settled on our public track record.
No value edgeConfidence: Low
Why
- We make it 59%
- Expected goals 1.7–0.8 (most likely score 1-0)
- Last five: Arsenal WWWLW, Everton LLDWD
- No clear value at current prices, so this is our most likely sensible tip
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Arsenal vs Everton preview
This Premier League match between Arsenal and Everton was played on Saturday 24 October. Here is how it shaped up before kick-off. In the standings, Everton are 9th on 10 points from 8 games and Arsenal 2nd on 21 points from 8 games. That puts Arsenal seven places higher. On form, Arsenal have won four of their last five (WWWLW), while Everton have picked up one win, two draws and two defeats in their last five (LLDWD). In front of goal, Arsenal score 1.6 and concede 0.6 a game on average; Everton score 1.0 and concede 1.1.
Our model expects around 1.7 goals for Arsenal and 0.8 for Everton, and 1–0 is the single most likely scoreline at 13%. We put over 2.5 goals at 45% and both teams to score at 45%. We make Arsenal 59% to win, the draw 26% and Everton 15%. Our verdict is Arsenal to win: we rate it at 64%, against 66% implied by the best price of 1.52. There is no clear value at the current prices, as the bookmakers rate this at least as highly as we do, so treat it as our most likely sensible outcome rather than a value bet.
Match result: our chances against the odds
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal win | 59% | – | – | – |
| Draw | 26% | – | – | – |
| Everton win | 15% | – | – | – |
Implied chance is 1 ÷ the best price, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. Edge is our chance × price − 1.
Goals, both teams to score and double chance
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 45% | – | – | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 55% | – | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 45% | – | – | – |
| Not both to score | 55% | – | – | – |
| Arsenal or draw | 85% | – | – | – |
| Everton or draw | 41% | – | – | – |
| Either team to win | 74% | – | – | – |
Expected goals and likely scores
| Expected goals | xG |
|---|---|
| Arsenal | 1.7 |
| Everton | 0.8 |
| Total | 2.5 |
| Most likely scores | Chance |
|---|---|
| Arsenal 1–0 Everton | 13% |
| Arsenal 2–0 Everton | 12% |
| Arsenal 1–1 Everton | 12% |
Form, table and goals
| Form (last 5) | Results |
|---|---|
| Arsenal | |
| Everton |
| League position | Pos | Pts | Played |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | 2nd | 21 | 8 |
| Everton | 9th | 10 | 8 |
| Goals per game | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | 1.6 | 0.6 |
| Everton | 1.0 | 1.1 |
Arsenal vs Everton: FAQ
Who will win Arsenal vs Everton?
The match finished Arsenal 2–0 Everton. Before kick-off we made Arsenal 59% to win, the draw 26% and Everton 15%, so Arsenal were the more likely winners on our numbers. Our verdict was Arsenal to win at 64%.
Will both teams score in Arsenal vs Everton?
We gave both teams to score a 45% chance. Our expected goals are 1.7 for Arsenal and 0.8 for Everton. In the end, both teams did not score.
How many goals in Arsenal vs Everton?
Our model expects about 2.5 goals in total. We put over 2.5 goals at 45% and under 2.5 at 55%. The single most likely score is 1–0. The final score was 2–0, 2 goals in all.
What time does Arsenal vs Everton kick off?
Arsenal vs Everton kicked off at 14:00 UTC on Saturday 24 October 2026, in the Premier League.
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