Coventry vs Sunderland prediction
Coventry
SunderlandNo value edgeConfidence: Low
Why
- We make it 65%; the best price of 1.47 implies 68%
- Expected goals 1.7–1.6 (most likely score 1-1)
- Last five: Coventry LLWWL, Sunderland LLLLD
- No clear value at current prices, so this is our most likely sensible tip
Our 2nd and 3rd picks
Both sides expected to score: 1.7 and 1.6 xG.
Build your bet slip
Coventry vs Sunderland preview
Premier League action on Saturday 31 October sees Sunderland travel to face Coventry. In the standings, Sunderland are 20th on 4 points from 7 games and Coventry 19th on 6 points from 8 games. On form, Coventry have lost three of their last five (LLWWL), while Sunderland have not won any of their last five (one draw, four defeats) (LLLLD). Coventry average 0.8 goals scored and 1.9 conceded per game, compared with 0.9 and 2.0 for Sunderland. On expected goals we have Coventry at 1.7 and Sunderland at 1.6, with 1–1 the most likely score (11%).
We put over 2.5 goals at 53% and both teams to score at 58%. We make Coventry 35% to win, the draw 27% and Sunderland 38%, while the best bookmaker prices imply 34%, 28% and 39%. Our verdict is Sunderland or draw: we rate it at 65%, against 68% implied by the best price of 1.47. There is no clear value at the current prices, as the bookmakers rate this at least as highly as we do, so treat it as our most likely sensible outcome rather than a value bet. Prices change, and nothing in football is guaranteed.
Match result: our chances against the odds
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coventry win | 35% | 2.96 | 34% | +3% |
| Draw | 27% | 3.54 | 28% | -3% |
| Sunderland win | 38% | 2.55 | 39% | -3% |
Implied chance is 1 ÷ the best price, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. Edge is our chance × price − 1.
Goals, both teams to score and double chance
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 1.94 | 52% | +2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 47% | 2.00 | 50% | -5% |
| Both teams to score | 58% | 1.73 | 58% | 0% |
| Not both to score | 42% | 2.12 | 47% | -10% |
| Coventry or draw | 62% | 1.58 | 63% | -2% |
| Sunderland or draw | 65% | 1.47 | 68% | -4% |
| Either team to win | 73% | 1.35 | 74% | -2% |
Expected goals and likely scores
| Expected goals | xG |
|---|---|
| Coventry | 1.7 |
| Sunderland | 1.6 |
| Total | 3.3 |
| Most likely scores | Chance |
|---|---|
| Coventry 1–1 Sunderland | 11% |
| Coventry 2–1 Sunderland | 9% |
| Coventry 1–2 Sunderland | 8% |
Form, table and goals
| Form (last 5) | Results |
|---|---|
| Coventry | |
| Sunderland |
| League position | Pos | Pts | Played |
|---|---|---|---|
| Coventry | 19th | 6 | 8 |
| Sunderland | 20th | 4 | 7 |
| Goals per game | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Coventry | 0.8 | 1.9 |
| Sunderland | 0.9 | 2.0 |
Coventry vs Sunderland: FAQ
Who will win Coventry vs Sunderland?
We make Coventry 35% to win, the draw 27% and Sunderland 38%, so Sunderland are the more likely winners on our numbers, though it is close. The bookmakers agree, with Sunderland the shorter price. Our verdict is Sunderland or draw at 65%.
Will both teams score in Coventry vs Sunderland?
We give both teams to score a 58% chance, against 58% implied by the best price of 1.73. Our expected goals are 1.7 for Coventry and 1.6 for Sunderland.
How many goals in Coventry vs Sunderland?
Our model expects about 3.3 goals in total. We put over 2.5 goals at 53% and under 2.5 at 47%; the best over 2.5 price is 1.94. The single most likely score is 1–1.
What time does Coventry vs Sunderland kick off?
Coventry vs Sunderland kicks off at 15:00 UTC on Saturday 31 October 2026, in the Premier League.
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