Sporting CP vs Academico Viseu prediction

Sporting CP vs Academico Viseu preview

Primeira Liga action on Sunday 25 October sees Academico Viseu travel to face Sporting CP. In the standings, Academico Viseu are 7th on 14 points from 8 games and Sporting CP 3rd on 18 points from 8 games. On form, Sporting CP have gone unbeaten in their last five, with three wins and two draws (WDDWW), while Academico Viseu have won four of their last five (WWWWL). In front of goal, Sporting CP score 2.5 and concede 1.1 a game on average; Academico Viseu score 1.4 and concede 1.3. Our model expects around 1.7 goals for Sporting CP and 1.5 for Academico Viseu, and 1–1 is the single most likely scoreline at 12%.

We put over 2.5 goals at 64% and both teams to score at 50%. We make Sporting CP 72% to win, the draw 16% and Academico Viseu 11%, while the best bookmaker prices imply 79%, 15% and 8%. Our verdict is Over 2.5 goals: we rate it at 64%, against 65% implied by the best price of 1.55. There is no clear value at the current prices, as the bookmakers rate this at least as highly as we do, so treat it as our most likely sensible outcome rather than a value bet. Odds can move before kick-off and no prediction is certain.