Torino vs Como prediction
Torino
ComoNo value edgeConfidence: Low
Why
- We make it 58%; the best price of 1.76 implies 57%
- Expected goals 1.4–1.9, so 58% for over 2.5 and 58% for both to score
- Last five: Torino WWWDL, Como WWDLW
- No clear value at current prices, so this is our most likely sensible tip
Our 2nd and 3rd picks
Both sides expected to score: 1.4 and 1.9 xG.
Our model gives Como the win 53%.
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Torino vs Como preview
Torino welcome Como on Tuesday 27 October in Serie A. Torino sit 7th in the table on 13 points from 8 games, while Como are 4th with 17 points. Both sides have won three of their last five: Torino WWWDL and Como WWDLW. In front of goal, Torino score 1.6 and concede 1.4 a game on average; Como score 1.8 and concede 0.9. On expected goals we have Torino at 1.4 and Como at 1.9, with 1–1 the most likely score (11%).
We put over 2.5 goals at 58% and both teams to score at 58%. We make Torino 22% to win, the draw 25% and Como 53%, while the best bookmaker prices imply 20%, 26% and 55%. Our verdict is Over 2.5 goals: we rate it at 58%, against 57% implied by the best price of 1.76. The edge is slim at around 2%, so a small drop in the price would remove it. Odds can move before kick-off and no prediction is certain.
Match result: our chances against the odds
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Torino win | 22% | 4.89 | 20% | +7% |
| Draw | 25% | 3.88 | 26% | -2% |
| Como win | 53% | 1.82 | 55% | -4% |
Implied chance is 1 ÷ the best price, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. Edge is our chance × price − 1.
Goals, both teams to score and double chance
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 1.76 | 57% | +2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 42% | 2.24 | 45% | -5% |
| Both teams to score | 58% | 1.70 | 59% | -1% |
| Not both to score | 42% | 2.20 | 45% | -8% |
| Torino or draw | 47% | 2.10 | 48% | -1% |
| Como or draw | 78% | 1.23 | 81% | -4% |
| Either team to win | 75% | 1.30 | 77% | -3% |
Expected goals and likely scores
| Expected goals | xG |
|---|---|
| Torino | 1.4 |
| Como | 1.9 |
| Total | 3.3 |
| Most likely scores | Chance |
|---|---|
| Torino 1–1 Como | 11% |
| Torino 1–2 Como | 9% |
| Torino 0–2 Como | 7% |
Form, table and goals
| Form (last 5) | Results |
|---|---|
| Torino | |
| Como |
| League position | Pos | Pts | Played |
|---|---|---|---|
| Torino | 7th | 13 | 8 |
| Como | 4th | 17 | 8 |
| Goals per game | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Torino | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| Como | 1.8 | 0.9 |
Corners and cards lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Corners 9.5 | 2.45 (41%) | 1.72 (58%) |
Best available prices, with the implied chance in brackets.
Torino vs Como: FAQ
Who will win Torino vs Como?
We make Torino 22% to win, the draw 25% and Como 53%, so Como are the more likely winners on our numbers. The bookmakers agree, with Como the shorter price. Our verdict is Over 2.5 goals at 58%.
Will both teams score in Torino vs Como?
We give both teams to score a 58% chance, against 59% implied by the best price of 1.70. Our expected goals are 1.4 for Torino and 1.9 for Como.
How many goals in Torino vs Como?
Our model expects about 3.3 goals in total. We put over 2.5 goals at 58% and under 2.5 at 42%; the best over 2.5 price is 1.76. The single most likely score is 1–1.
What time does Torino vs Como kick off?
Torino vs Como kicks off at 19:45 UTC on Tuesday 27 October 2026, in Serie A.
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